Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 885.688518 1008.143511 1146.600649 1315.803093 1518.433747 1755.114496 2055.156692
2025-02-02 700.384853 863.808145 1069.219315 1351.250392 1736.322390 2255.869142 3031.909413
2025-02-09 608.722830 788.022408 1028.584386 1384.548541 1915.366209 2708.513765 4048.970067
2025-02-16 534.308089 717.119324 974.795313 1378.944728 2025.874763 3078.528994 5061.134099
2025-02-23 490.600417 679.772455 958.420560 1419.363502 2208.042569 3602.318814 6534.750658
2025-03-02 452.020407 643.303880 935.796022 1442.498266 2362.400919 4117.384172 8221.316710
2025-03-09 413.539102 601.515020 897.923308 1431.640544 2450.999952 4530.709428 9891.657008
2025-03-16 377.376259 558.927710 852.650624 1399.145700 2489.668326 4850.908453 11509.075964
2025-03-23 355.227106 536.229838 837.143938 1417.092425 2631.272693 5441.903116 14243.976166
2025-03-30 326.307846 499.394972 792.901423 1373.443539 2633.364043 5703.225578 16155.906288
2025-04-06 301.726815 467.612394 754.066124 1334.466295 2637.425589 5972.242232 18310.813737
2025-04-13 279.262187 437.558078 715.287607 1290.108139 2620.203739 6180.633661 20426.631644
2025-04-20 270.585705 431.894929 722.686543 1347.032591 2870.503470 7291.085304 27786.973899
2025-04-27 259.266613 420.786294 719.196201 1381.881000 3081.521815 8414.022851 37186.908659
2025-05-04 249.056966 410.573172 715.960681 1416.345991 3302.014336 9701.269492 50316.611514
2025-05-11 235.720689 393.323443 696.742768 1410.555569 3408.851947 10645.304245 63624.607404
2025-05-18 228.143375 386.242258 697.310696 1452.174670 3670.156437 12396.511291 90043.241819
2025-05-25 219.565975 376.458109 691.105691 1475.999337 3885.476970 14128.992188 125124.817852
2025-06-01 208.814565 361.541967 672.410591 1464.817331 3983.684862 15393.590476 162454.976660
2025-06-08 197.240624 344.149016 646.706210 1431.356131 3996.930459 16244.953948 200224.141371
2025-06-15 190.505368 335.983432 640.547752 1449.835777 4204.682745 18407.347817 290127.475649
2025-06-22 179.767121 318.932575 612.945488 1404.894187 4162.925787 19030.917873 349976.328339
2025-06-29 170.172993 303.653921 588.163946 1364.772556 4130.933292 19726.038398 427603.879017